Trump sees massive surge in the polls with surprise demographic: 'Truly historic'

Release time：2024-05-19 15:33:08 Source：International Identities news portal

Former President Donald Trump is surging with a voter bloc Americans might not expect.

Black voters are flocking to Trump in huge numbers, while simultaneously leaving President Joe Biden, CNN's average of polls showed. 

Trump's support among black voters surged to 22 percent compared to 2020, when the 45th president only had the support of 9 percent of the demographic. 

Biden, on the other hand, saw his 81 percent of black voter support in 2020 dip to 69 percent.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten said this could be a 'troubling sign' for the Biden campaign, which heavily relied on black voters to get him into the White House last time around. 

Trump's support among black voters surged to 22 percent compared to 2020, when the 45th president only had the support of 9 percent of the demographi

Former President Donald Trump waves as he attends the graduation ceremony of his son, Barron Trump, at Oxbridge Academy in Palm Beach, Florida on May 17, 2024

Derrick Johnson, president of the NAACP, greets United States President Joe Biden at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington DC on Friday. Biden is currently touring the nation in a bid to strengthen his declining support among black voters

Trump has doubled his support among Black voters from this point four years ago. If his support held, it'd be the best GOP performance since Richard Nixon in 1960 among Black voters....

Trump's doing it thanks to pulling in a quarter of Black voters under 50. pic.twitter.com/qDqBfRVLVA

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) May 17, 2024

If the trend of black voters aligning with Trump continues, he could win a larger share of them than any Republican presidential candidate since 1960, Enten added.

'This would be by far the best performance for a Republican candidate among black voters in a generation, two generations, probably since 1960 and Richard Nixon against John F. Kennedy … This could be a truly historic margin.' 

This comes as the two candidates agreed to debate one another twice - first on June 27 with CNN and again on September 10 with ABC News.

The polling average CNN cited also found that Trump is most popular with black voters ages 18 to 49. 

Twenty-five percent of them now say they support the former president - three times more than voters over the age of 50.

'Blacks for Trump' demonstrators gather on the day Trump appeared at the U.S. District Court in Washington on August 3, 2023

'Blacks for Trump' demonstrators show their support for Trump and his 18 co-defendants outside of the Fulton County Courthouse on September 6, 2023 in Atlanta, Georgia

The polling average CNN cited also found that Trump is the most popular with black voters aged 18 to 49 and has far less support among older black voters

Biden still largely has locked down older black voters, whom he enjoys 82 percent support from, but the under 50 category is starting to slip.

'This is what a lot of folks have been talking about, that Joe Biden has a specific problem among younger black voters, and that is exactly what showing up right here,' Enten said. 

'It's these younger black voters who very much are turning on him and being much more supportive of Donald Trump than they were four years ago.' 

Biden has certainly taken notice of the weakening of his coalition, and is currently on a tour to reassure black voters that he's the right choice to be commander-in-chief.

'Black history is American history, we have a whole group out there trying to rewrite history, trying to erase history,' Biden said Friday at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington D.C.

Biden is seen giving a speech at the National Museum of African American History and Culture in Washington, DC. It's part of his effort to shore up support among black voters

Audience members react as Biden speaks at the museum

He added: 'My name's Joe Biden, and I'm a lifetime member of the NAACP.'

He was there to mark the 70th anniversary of the ruling in Brown v. Board of Education. The decision banned segregation in public schools. 

And on Sunday, Biden will deliver a commencement speech at Morehouse College, a historically black liberal arts college in Atlanta, Georgia.

Georgia also happens to be a swing state that Biden narrowly won in 2020.

Trump maintains a 1.1 percentage point edge over Biden in a hypothetical general election matchup, according to RealClearPolitics.

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